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Research ArticleHead and Neck Imaging
Open Access

Convolutional Neural Network to Stratify the Malignancy Risk of Thyroid Nodules: Diagnostic Performance Compared with the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System Implemented by Experienced Radiologists

G.R. Kim, E. Lee, H.R. Kim, J.H. Yoon, V.Y. Park and J.Y. Kwak
American Journal of Neuroradiology May 2021, DOI: https://doi.org/10.3174/ajnr.A7149
G.R. Kim
aFrom the Department of Radiology (G.R.K., J.H.Y., V.Y.P., J.Y.K.), Severance Hospital, Research Institute of Radiological Science, Center for Clinical Imaging Data Science, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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E. Lee
bDepartment of Computational Science and Engineering (E.L.), Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea
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H.R. Kim
cBiostatistics Collaboration Unit (H.R.K.), Department of Biomedical Systems Informatics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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J.H. Yoon
aFrom the Department of Radiology (G.R.K., J.H.Y., V.Y.P., J.Y.K.), Severance Hospital, Research Institute of Radiological Science, Center for Clinical Imaging Data Science, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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V.Y. Park
aFrom the Department of Radiology (G.R.K., J.H.Y., V.Y.P., J.Y.K.), Severance Hospital, Research Institute of Radiological Science, Center for Clinical Imaging Data Science, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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J.Y. Kwak
aFrom the Department of Radiology (G.R.K., J.H.Y., V.Y.P., J.Y.K.), Severance Hospital, Research Institute of Radiological Science, Center for Clinical Imaging Data Science, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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    FIG 1.

    Flowchart of the study population. AUS/FLUS indicates atypia of undetermined significance/follicular lesion of undetermined significance.

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    FIG 2.

    Comparison of ROC curves between the CNN (solid line) and ACR TI-RADS categories (dotted line). The area under the ROC curve of the CNN (0.917; 95% confidence interval, 0.895–0.936) was higher than that in the ACR TI-RADS categories (0.891; 95% confidence interval, 0.867–0.912) (P = .017). The areas under the ROC curve of the CNN using a malignancy risk percentage between 0 and 100 and ACR TI-RADS categories using a TR category from 1 to 5 were compared as continuous values.

Tables

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    Table 1:

    Patient demographics and distribution of ACR TI-RADS features in benign and malignant thyroid nodules (n = 760)a

    CharacteristicsAll (n = 760)Benign Nodules (n = 584)Malignant Nodules (n = 176)P Value
    Sex.035
        Women587462 (79.4%)125 (71.4%)
        Men170120 (20.6%)50 (28.6%)
    Age (median) (interquartile range) (yr)51 (39–61)52 (41–61)45 (34–60)<.001
    Nodule size (median) (interquartile range) (mm)20 (14–30)23 (15–32)14 (11–20)<.001
    Nodule features
        Composition<.001
            Cystic or almost completely cystic5047 (8.0%)3 (1.7%)
            Spongiform11 (0.2%)0
            Mixed cystic and solid234222 (38.0%)12 (6.8%)
            Solid or almost completely solid475314 (53.8%)161 (91.5%)
        Echogenicity<.001
            Anechoic00
            Hyperechoic or isoechoic410387 (66.3%)23 (13.1%)
            Hypoechoic329191 (32.7%)138 (78.4%)
            Very hypoechoic216 (1.0%)15 (8.5%)
        Shape<.001
            Wider-than-tall671554 (94.9%)117 (66.5%)
            Taller-than-wide8930 (5.1%)59 (33.5%)
        Margin<.001
            Smooth579535 (91.6%)44 (25.0%)
            Ill-defined000
            Lobulated or irregular18149 (8.4%)132 (75.0%)
            Extrathyroidal extension000
        Echogenic foci<.001
            None or large comet-tail artifacts536477 (81.7%)59 (33.5%)
            Macrocalcifications9169 (11.8%)22 (12.5%)
            Peripheral (rim) calcifications1010 (1.7%)0
            Punctate echogenic foci12328 (4.8%)95 (54.0%)
    • ↵a Data are numbers of nodules, with percentages in parentheses.

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    Table 2:

    Calculated malignancy risk of each category according to the risk stratification of ACR TI-RADS

    TR1TR2TR3TR4TR5Total
    Suggested risk of malignancy (%)20,24≤2≤22< and ≤55< and ≤20>20
    ACR TI-RADS category
        No. of malignant nodules04933130176
        Assigned total nodules41158185209167760
        Calculated risk of malignancy (%)02.54.915.877.823.2
    CNNa
        No. of malignant nodules0009167176
        Assigned total nodules0545307403760
        Calculated risk of malignancy (%)0002.941.423.2
    • ↵a Malignancy percentages provided by the CNN were re-categorized according to the suggested cancer risk levels of ACR TI-RADS.

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    Table 3:

    Comparison of diagnostic performance between CNN and ACR TI-RADS

    CNN (95% CI)ACR TI-RADS (95% CI)P Value
    Sensitivity81.8% (76.1–87.5)73.9% (67.4–80.4).009
    Specificity86.1% (83.3–88.9)93.7% (91.7–95.6)<.001
    Accuracy85.1% (82.6–87.7)89.1% (86.9–91.3).003
    Positive predictive value64.0% (57.7–70.3)77.8% (71.6–84.1)<.001
    Negative predictive value94.0% (92–96)92.2% (90.1–94.4).046
    AUCa0.917 (0.895-0.936)0.891 (0.867-0.912).017
    • ↵a The AUCs of the CNN using a malignancy risk percentage between 0 and 100 and ACR TI-RADS categories using a TR category from 1 to 5 were compared as continuous values.

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G.R. Kim, E. Lee, H.R. Kim, J.H. Yoon, V.Y. Park, J.Y. Kwak
Convolutional Neural Network to Stratify the Malignancy Risk of Thyroid Nodules: Diagnostic Performance Compared with the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System Implemented by Experienced Radiologists
American Journal of Neuroradiology May 2021, DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A7149

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Convolutional Neural Network to Stratify the Malignancy Risk of Thyroid Nodules: Diagnostic Performance Compared with the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System Implemented by Experienced Radiologists
G.R. Kim, E. Lee, H.R. Kim, J.H. Yoon, V.Y. Park, J.Y. Kwak
American Journal of Neuroradiology May 2021, DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A7149
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