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Research ArticleBRAIN

Prognostic Value of Perfusion MR Imaging of High-Grade Astrocytomas: Long-Term Follow-Up Study

T. Hirai, R. Murakami, H. Nakamura, M. Kitajima, H. Fukuoka, A. Sasao, M. Akter, Y. Hayashida, R. Toya, N. Oya, K. Awai, K. Iyama, J.-i. Kuratsu and Y. Yamashita
American Journal of Neuroradiology September 2008, 29 (8) 1505-1510; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3174/ajnr.A1121
T. Hirai
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R. Murakami
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H. Nakamura
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M. Kitajima
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H. Fukuoka
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A. Sasao
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M. Akter
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Y. Hayashida
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R. Toya
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N. Oya
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K. Awai
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K. Iyama
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J.-i. Kuratsu
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Y. Yamashita
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    Fig 1.

    ROC curves to determine the optimal maximum rCBV cutoff for predicting the 2-year survival. At a critical test cutoff value of rCBV = 2.3, sensitivity and specificity for distinguishing the 2-year survival are 95% and 68%, respectively. Area under the curve is 0.829.

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    Fig 2.

    The relationship between maximum rCBV values and survival time in 49 patients with high-grade astrocytoma. A cutoff value of 2.3 for maximum rCBV (dotted line) was determined on the basis of an ROC analysis result to best discriminate patients with and without 2-year survival. ○ indicates surviving patients with AA; •, patients with AA who died; ▵, surviving patients with GBM; ▴, patients with GBM who died.

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    Fig 3.

    Kaplan-Meier survival curves for patients with GBM or AA with low rCBV (≤2.3) or high rCBV (>2.3). For patients with GBM and AA, the overall survival rate was significantly lower for patients with high rCBV (>2.3) than for those with low rCBV (≤2.3) (P = .013 and P < .001, respectively). ○ indicates surviving patients with AA; •, patients with AA who died; ▵, surviving patients with GBM; ▴, patients with GBM who died.

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    Fig 4.

    Transverse MR images obtained in a 71-year-old woman with anaplastic astrocytoma. A and B, T2-weighted (A) (TR/TE, 3600/96 ms) and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (B) (TR/TE, 670/14 ms) images showing a heterogeneous signal-intensity lesion with slightly enhanced areas in the left basal ganglia. C, Transverse rCBV map showing intratumoral high-perfusion areas (arrow). The maximum rCBV value within the tumor is 2.4. This patient died 25 months after the initial MR imaging study.

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    Fig 5.

    Transverse MR images obtained in a 43-year-old woman with anaplastic astrocytoma. A and B, T2-weighted (A) (TR/TE, 3600/96 ms) and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (B) (TR/TE, 670/14 ms) images showing a heterogeneous signal-intensity lesion with patchy enhanced areas in the left temporal lobe. C, Transverse rCBV map showing slight high-perfusion areas (arrow) in the medial portion of the temporal lesion. The maximum rCBV value within the tumor is 1.9. This patient survived 65 months after the initial MR imaging study.

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    Table 1:

    Prognostic factors in patients with high-grade astrocytoma

    Prognostic FactorNo. of Patients (N = 49)Overall Survival* (%)P Value†
    Age (yr)
        ≤491663.011
        ≥503330
    Sex
        Male3027.029
        Female1963
    Histologic diagnosis
        AA1889<.001
        GBM3113
    Neurologic function‡
        Work1968.002
        Home or hospital30′23
    Mental status
        Normal3847.019
        Abnormal1118
    Symptom duration (mo)
        ≤33939.567
        <31050
    KPS score
        ≤802821.003
        90–1002167
    Extent of surgery
        Biopsy1527.024
        Resection3447
    Tumor enhancement
        Present3622<.001
        Absent1392
    rCBV
        ≤2.32767<.001
        <2.329
    • Note:—AA indicates anaplastic astrocytoma; GBM, glioblastoma multiforme; KPS, Karnofsky performance scale; rCBV, relative cerebral blood volume.

    • * Data are 2-year overall survival rates, expressed as percentages.

    • † P values were calculated by using the logrank test.

    • ‡ Neurologic function sufficient to enable the patient to work or limited so that the patient is either confined to the home or hospitalized.

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    Table 2:

    Multivariate analysis of specific prognostic factors

    Prognostic FactorHazard Ratio* (95% CI)P Value
    Age ≥50 yearsNA.814
    Sex: male2.632 (1.153–6.010).021
    Histologic diagnosis of GBM9.707 (3.163–29.788)<.001
    Neurologic function: home or hospital†NA.435
    Abnormal mental statusNA.228
    KPS score ≤ 80NA.150
    Extent of surgery: biopsy2.692 (1.196–6.061).016
    Tumor enhancement: presentNA.726
    rCBV > 2.34.739 (1.950–11.518)<.001
    • Note:—NA indicates not applicable; GBM, glioblastoma multiforme; KPS, Karnofsky performance scale; rCBV, relative cerebral blood volume.

    • * Hazard ratio was not calculated when P ≥ .05.

    • † Neurologic function is limited so that the patient is either confined to the home or hospitalized.

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American Journal of Neuroradiology: 29 (8)
American Journal of Neuroradiology
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T. Hirai, R. Murakami, H. Nakamura, M. Kitajima, H. Fukuoka, A. Sasao, M. Akter, Y. Hayashida, R. Toya, N. Oya, K. Awai, K. Iyama, J.-i. Kuratsu, Y. Yamashita
Prognostic Value of Perfusion MR Imaging of High-Grade Astrocytomas: Long-Term Follow-Up Study
American Journal of Neuroradiology Sep 2008, 29 (8) 1505-1510; DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A1121

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Prognostic Value of Perfusion MR Imaging of High-Grade Astrocytomas: Long-Term Follow-Up Study
T. Hirai, R. Murakami, H. Nakamura, M. Kitajima, H. Fukuoka, A. Sasao, M. Akter, Y. Hayashida, R. Toya, N. Oya, K. Awai, K. Iyama, J.-i. Kuratsu, Y. Yamashita
American Journal of Neuroradiology Sep 2008, 29 (8) 1505-1510; DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A1121
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