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Research ArticleHead and Neck Imaging
Open Access

Role of the Apparent Diffusion Coefficient as a Predictor of Tumor Progression in Patients with Chordoma

T. Sasaki, T. Moritani, A. Belay, A.A. Capizzano, S.P. Sato, Y. Sato, P. Kirby, S. Ishitoya, A. Oya, M. Toda and K. Takahashi
American Journal of Neuroradiology May 2018, DOI: https://doi.org/10.3174/ajnr.A5664
T. Sasaki
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (T.S., T.M., A.B., A.A.C., S.P.S., Y.S.)
cAsahikawa Medical University (T.S., S.I., A.O., M.T., K.T.), Asahikawa, Hokkaido, Japan
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T. Moritani
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (T.S., T.M., A.B., A.A.C., S.P.S., Y.S.)
dDepartment of Radiology (T.M.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
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A. Belay
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (T.S., T.M., A.B., A.A.C., S.P.S., Y.S.)
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A.A. Capizzano
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (T.S., T.M., A.B., A.A.C., S.P.S., Y.S.)
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S.P. Sato
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (T.S., T.M., A.B., A.A.C., S.P.S., Y.S.)
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Y. Sato
aFrom the Departments of Radiology (T.S., T.M., A.B., A.A.C., S.P.S., Y.S.)
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P. Kirby
bPathology (P.K.), University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa
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S. Ishitoya
cAsahikawa Medical University (T.S., S.I., A.O., M.T., K.T.), Asahikawa, Hokkaido, Japan
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A. Oya
cAsahikawa Medical University (T.S., S.I., A.O., M.T., K.T.), Asahikawa, Hokkaido, Japan
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M. Toda
cAsahikawa Medical University (T.S., S.I., A.O., M.T., K.T.), Asahikawa, Hokkaido, Japan
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K. Takahashi
cAsahikawa Medical University (T.S., S.I., A.O., M.T., K.T.), Asahikawa, Hokkaido, Japan
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    Fig 1.

    Comparison of mean ADC values between groups with different tumor-progression statuses. There was a significant difference between the 2 groups (P < .001).

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    Fig 2.

    A 59-year-old man with a recurrent chordoma in the aggressive tumor group. A, Two years after the first surgery, contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging shows an expansile mass extending to the suprasellar region (arrows). B, The ROI outlined in yellow on the ADC map represents decreased water diffusivity (ADC = 1.211 × 10−3 × mm2/s). C, Contrast-enhanced T1-weighted imaging obtained 8 months later shows an increase of the mass (volume change ratio, 1.67; arrowheads) with a doubling time of 5.5 months. The patient died of disease 15 months after the second MR imaging examination.

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    Fig 3.

    A 10-year-old boy with a residual chordoma in the nonaggressive tumor group. A, Three years after the first operation, T2-weighted imaging shows an expansile mass in the clivus (arrows). B, The ROI outlined in yellow on the ADC map represents increased water diffusivity (ADC = 1.808 × 10−3 mm2/s). C, The mass was stable on T2-weighted imaging obtained 13 months later (volume change ratio = 0.11; arrowheads) with a doubling time of 10.0 years. He was still alive 7 years after the second MR imaging.

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    Fig 4.

    Kaplan-Meier curves using log-rank tests for survival. A, Graph shows 2 groups based on a cutoff ADC of 1.494 × 10−3 mm2/s at the first MR imaging. The group with the lower ADC had a significantly worse prognosis (P = .006). B, Graph shows the tumor progression rate in the 2 groups at the second MR imaging. The prognosis was significantly worse in the aggressive tumor group than in the nonaggressive tumor group (P < .001). The cutoff ADC value could predict patients with a worse prognosis at the first MR imaging at a mean of 9.1 ± 5.2 months earlier than the second MR imaging. Cum indicates cumulative.

Tables

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    Table 1:

    Patient demographic and clinical characteristicsa

    Aggressive TumorNonaggressive TumorP Value
    No.610
    Volume change ratio14.4 ± 21.0 (−2.18–17.2)0.463 ± 1.135 (−1.40–3.78).003
    Doubling time (mo)5.77 ± 4.03 (0.73–10.8)NA
    Age at first operation (yr)54.3 ± 9.945.8 ± 24.3.713
    Location of tumor (ratio of clival chordoma to all)3/68/10.299b
    Postsurgical RT radiation dose (Gy)72.4 ± 33.5 (n = 4)74.2 ± 10.9 (n = 7).927
    Ratio of patients with postsurgical RT to all4/69/10.518b
    Time from first operation to first follow-up MRI (mo)62.8 ± 53.371.4 ± 76.2>.99
    Time between the 2 follow-up MRIs (mo)9.1 ± 5.218.3 ± 12.5.022
    No. of surgical resections at first follow-up MRI2.00 ± 0.891.10 ± 0.32.056
    Sex (M/F)5:17:3>.99b
    Histopathology (ratio of classic chordoma to all chordomas)6/65/10.093b
    Mean ADC (×10−3 × mm2/s)1.055 ± 0.298 (0.78–1.37)1.622 ± 0.139 (1.34–1.65)<.001
    Tumor volume (× 103 × mm3)21.2 ± 37.4 (0–60.4)3.44 ± 2.38 (0–7.46).492
    • Note:—NA indicates not applicable.

    • ↵a Numbers in the table represent mean ± SD. The numbers in parentheses indicate the 95% CIs.

    • ↵b P value was calculated by the Fisher exact test because the data were categoric.

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    Table 2:

    ROC plot analysis for ADC values differentiating an aggressive tumor from a nonaggressive tumora

    Aggressive Tumor
    AUC (95% CI)0.983 (0.911–1.000) (P = .002)
    Cutoff ADC value (×10−3 × mm2/s)1.494
    Sensitivity1.000 (0.541–1.000)
    Specificity0.900 (0.555–0.998)
    Accuracy0.938 (0.698–0.998)
    PPV0.857 (0.421–0.996)
    NPV1.000 (0.664–1.000)
    Positive LR10 (1.56–64.2)
    Negative LR0
    • Note:—ROC indicates receiver operating characteristic; AUC, area under the curve; LR, likelihood ratio; NA, not available; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.

    • ↵a Numbers in parentheses indicate 95% confidence intervals.

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    Table 3:

    Kaplan-Meier curves for survival using log-rank tests in patients with recurrent chordomas

    Explanatory VariablesTotal No.No. of EventsP Value
    Univariate models
        Age at first operation (yr).312
            Younger than 60105
            60 or older62
    No. of surgical resections at first MRI.002
        1113
        ≥254
    Tumor volume.957
        <3 × 103 × mm3104
        ≥3 × 103 × mm363
    Histopathology
        Chondroid chordoma51.346
        Classic chordoma116
    Tumor location.507
        Clivus115
        Other sites5 (C = 1, L = 2, S = 1, other = 1)2
    Adjuvant radiation therapy.172
        None/unknown32
        Done135
    Mean ADC (for an aggressive tumor).006
        >1.494 × 10−3 × mm2/s102
        ≤1.494 × 10−3 × mm2/s65
    • Note:—C indicates cervical spine; L, lumber spine; S, sacrum.

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Cite this article
T. Sasaki, T. Moritani, A. Belay, A.A. Capizzano, S.P. Sato, Y. Sato, P. Kirby, S. Ishitoya, A. Oya, M. Toda, K. Takahashi
Role of the Apparent Diffusion Coefficient as a Predictor of Tumor Progression in Patients with Chordoma
American Journal of Neuroradiology May 2018, DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A5664

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Role of the Apparent Diffusion Coefficient as a Predictor of Tumor Progression in Patients with Chordoma
T. Sasaki, T. Moritani, A. Belay, A.A. Capizzano, S.P. Sato, Y. Sato, P. Kirby, S. Ishitoya, A. Oya, M. Toda, K. Takahashi
American Journal of Neuroradiology May 2018, DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A5664
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