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Research ArticleNEURODEGENERATIVE DISORDER IMAGING

MRI-Based Prediction of Clinical Improvement after Ventricular Shunt Placement for Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus: Development and Evaluation of an Integrated Multisequence Machine Learning Algorithm

Owen P. Leary, Zhusi Zhong, Lulu Bi, Zhicheng Jiao, Yu-Wei Dai, Kevin Ma, Shanzeh Sayied, Daniel Kargilis, Maliha Imami, Lin-Mei Zhao, Xue Feng, Gerald Riccardello, Scott Collins, Konstantina Svokos, Abhay Moghekar, Li Yang, Harrison Bai, Petra M. Klinge and Jerrold L. Boxerman
American Journal of Neuroradiology September 2024, DOI: https://doi.org/10.3174/ajnr.A8372
Owen P. Leary
aFrom the Department of Neurosurgery (O.P.L., K.M., S.S., K.S., P.M.K.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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Zhusi Zhong
bDepartment of Diagnostic Imaging (Z.Z., L.B., Z.J., G.R., S.C., J.L.B.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
cSchool of Electronic Engineering (Z.Z.), Xidian University, Xi’an, China
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Lulu Bi
bDepartment of Diagnostic Imaging (Z.Z., L.B., Z.J., G.R., S.C., J.L.B.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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Zhicheng Jiao
bDepartment of Diagnostic Imaging (Z.Z., L.B., Z.J., G.R., S.C., J.L.B.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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Yu-Wei Dai
dDepartment of Neurology (Y.-W.D., L.Y.), The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Hunan, China
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Kevin Ma
aFrom the Department of Neurosurgery (O.P.L., K.M., S.S., K.S., P.M.K.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
eDepartment of Radiology (D.K., M.I., L.-M.Z., H.B.), Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
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Shanzeh Sayied
aFrom the Department of Neurosurgery (O.P.L., K.M., S.S., K.S., P.M.K.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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Daniel Kargilis
fColumbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons (K.M.), New York, New York
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Maliha Imami
fColumbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons (K.M.), New York, New York
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Lin-Mei Zhao
fColumbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons (K.M.), New York, New York
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Xue Feng
gCarina Medical (X.F.), Lexington, Kentucky
hDepartment of Biomedical Engineering (X.F.), University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia
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Gerald Riccardello
bDepartment of Diagnostic Imaging (Z.Z., L.B., Z.J., G.R., S.C., J.L.B.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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Scott Collins
bDepartment of Diagnostic Imaging (Z.Z., L.B., Z.J., G.R., S.C., J.L.B.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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Konstantina Svokos
aFrom the Department of Neurosurgery (O.P.L., K.M., S.S., K.S., P.M.K.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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Abhay Moghekar
iDepartment of Neurology (A.M.), Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
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Li Yang
dDepartment of Neurology (Y.-W.D., L.Y.), The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Hunan, China
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Harrison Bai
fColumbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons (K.M.), New York, New York
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Petra M. Klinge
aFrom the Department of Neurosurgery (O.P.L., K.M., S.S., K.S., P.M.K.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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Jerrold L. Boxerman
bDepartment of Diagnostic Imaging (Z.Z., L.B., Z.J., G.R., S.C., J.L.B.), Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island
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    FIG 1.

    Exemplary axial images from T2-weighted (A) and FLAIR (B) sequences of an included patient.

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    FIG 2.

    Our AI pipeline for training an outcome prediction model on shunted NPH baseline MRI data set (A), including a detailed review of image pre-processing (B).

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    FIG 3.

    Structure of ResNet50 network.

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    FIG 4.

    Fusion prediction model with ResNet50 models for integrating information from multiple imaging sequences.

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    FIG 5.

    Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves demonstrating comparison between models trained on T2-weighted, FLAIR, and both sequences for each of 4 clinical improvement end points on primary institution testing data set.

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    Table 1:

    Patient demographics and characteristics

    Patient Characteristic Mean (± SD) or Median (IQR)Training/Testing (Institution 1, n = 249)Validation (Institution 2, n = 33)
    Age74.2 (± 7.5) years72.1 (± 7.7) years
    Sex
     Men129 (51.8%)19 (57.6%)
     Women120 (48.2%)14 (42.4%)
    Race
     White232 (93.2%)28 (84.8%)
     Black/African American7 (2.8%)4 (12.1%)
     Other/unknown10 (4.0%)1 (3.0%)
    BMI28.5 (± 5.8)29.1 (±4.6)
    CCI6 (5–7)4 (3–6)
    Shunt laterality
     Right239 (95.9%)33 (100%)
     Left10 (4.1%)0 (0%)
    Catheter terminus placement
     Ventriculoperitoneal244 (98.0%)33 (100%)
     Ventriculopleural5 (2.0%)0
    NPH classification
     iNPH212 (85.1%)32 (97.0%)
     sNPH37 (14.9%)1 (3.0%)
    Baseline mRS
     0– No symptoms00
     1– No significant disability1 (0.4%)0
     2– Slight disability107 (43.0%)8 (24.2%)
     3– Moderate disability83 (33.3%)8 (24.2%)
     4– Moderate-severe disability41 (16.5%)15 (45.5%)
     5– Severe disability3 (1.2%)1 (3.0%)
     Unable to determine14 (5.6%)0
    8-Point gait score4 (4–6)5 (4–6)
    6-Point incontinence score3 (2–4)3 (2–4)
    • Note:—BMI indicates body mass index; SD, standard deviation.

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    Table 2:

    Presenting symptoms and postoperative improvement; denominators for improvement calculations are patients who had each symptom at baseline and attended follow-up

    Triad of NPH Symptoms and Functional DisabilityPresent at Baseline (Pre-Op)Improved at 3 Months Post-OpImproved at 12 Months Post-Op
    Training & testing cohort249/249 (100%)226/249 (90.8%)175/249 (70.3%)
    Gait impairment249 (100%)165/226 (73.0%)123/175 (70.3%)
    Urinary incontinence196 (78.7%)76/127 (59.8%)66/97 (68.0%)
    Cognitive impairment217 (87.1%)97/208 (46.6%)75/160 (46.9%)
    mRS––105/179 (58.7%)84/149 (56.4%)
    Validation cohort33/33 (100%)33/33 (100%)33/33 (100%)
    Gait impairment33 (100%)29/33 (87.9%)22/33 (66.7%)
    Urinary incontinence21 (63.6%)4/33 (12.1%)3/33 (9.1%)
    Cognitive impairment31 (93.9%)14/33 (42.4%)12/33 (36.4%)
    mRS––7/33 (21.2%)6/33 (18.2%)
    • View popup
    Table 3:

    Model performances on primary institution data set

    Model InputmRS ImprovementGait ImprovementUrinary ImprovementCognitive Improvement
    Age, sex, CCI0.6255 [0.5089–0.7421]0.5413 [0.4205–0.6621]0.7135 [0.5306–0.8964]0.6562 [0.4918–0.8207]
    T2 only0.5125 [0.3392–0.6858]0.6994 [0.5901–0.8087]0.7304 [0.6253–0.8355]0.4479 [0.2763–0.6195]
    FLAIR only0.6723 [0.4968–0.8478]0.7195 [0.6046–0.8344]0.7929 [0.6912–0.8947]0.7175 [0.5533–0.8816]
    T2+FLAIR0.7395 [0.5765–0.9024]0.8816 [0.8030–0.9602]0.7874 [0.6845–0.8903]0.7230 [0.5600–0.8859]
    • Note:—AUROC values represent the results of pretrained models when evaluated on testing data set and 95% CI.

    • View popup
    Table 4:

    Model performances on external validation data set

    Model InputmRS ImprovementGait ImprovementUrinary ImprovementCognitive Improvement
    T2 only0.5513 [0.2874–0.8152]0.6167 [0.2391–0.9942]0.7816 [0.4609–1]0.5732 [0.4326–0.7139]
    FLAIR only0.7989 [0.6909–0.9068]0.4758 [0.0517–0.8999]0.6724 [0.3645–0.9803]0.6364 [0.5024–0.7703]
    T2+FLAIR0.8291 [0.7271–0.9311]0.7333 [0.4263–1]0.7586 [0.4286–1]0.6310 [0.4326–0.8293]
    • Note:—AUROC values represent the results of the same pretrained models when evaluated on external validation data set and 95% CI.

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Owen P. Leary, Zhusi Zhong, Lulu Bi, Zhicheng Jiao, Yu-Wei Dai, Kevin Ma, Shanzeh Sayied, Daniel Kargilis, Maliha Imami, Lin-Mei Zhao, Xue Feng, Gerald Riccardello, Scott Collins, Konstantina Svokos, Abhay Moghekar, Li Yang, Harrison Bai, Petra M. Klinge, Jerrold L. Boxerman
MRI-Based Prediction of Clinical Improvement after Ventricular Shunt Placement for Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus: Development and Evaluation of an Integrated Multisequence Machine Learning Algorithm
American Journal of Neuroradiology Sep 2024, DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A8372

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MRI-Based Prediction of Clinical Improvement after Ventricular Shunt Placement for Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus: Development and Evaluation of an Integrated Multisequence Machine Learning Algorithm
Owen P. Leary, Zhusi Zhong, Lulu Bi, Zhicheng Jiao, Yu-Wei Dai, Kevin Ma, Shanzeh Sayied, Daniel Kargilis, Maliha Imami, Lin-Mei Zhao, Xue Feng, Gerald Riccardello, Scott Collins, Konstantina Svokos, Abhay Moghekar, Li Yang, Harrison Bai, Petra M. Klinge, Jerrold L. Boxerman
American Journal of Neuroradiology Sep 2024, DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A8372
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